The level of risk for COVID in the city is expected to rise this week – NBC New York

The New York Health Commissioner warns that the risk level for COVID-19 is likely to rise from “low” to “medium” in the coming days, moving the needle for the first time since the January Omicron wave.

The number of infections in the city has been steadily increasing over the past 45 days, bringing the positivity rate to almost 4.5%. There were more than 2,000 new cases as of Saturday.

Based on the rise in cases over time, Dr. Ashwin Wassen, the city’s health commissioner, recommends New Yorkers once again wear masks indoors.

“When you go inside an indoor place, especially when you do not know the immunization status of people around you, wear a mask,” Wassan told Spectrum News. “Wear a mask in all inner places.”

Last month, the city unveiled a new four-tier alert system to track the current threat of COVID-19, using red, orange, yellow and green to indicate what New Yorkers need to do to stay safe.

Red (very high), orange (high), yellow (medium) and green (low) alert levels also reflect the level of community spread. Once the city reaches orange or red levels, its health services are under extreme pressure.

The Department of Health said that if the city faced an increase in alertness, New York officials would consider returning the masquerade requirements in high-risk settings and in places where social exclusion could not be avoided. They can also examine the return of vaccination requirements for most indoor places.

According to the latest city data available, the positive rate is more than 10% in five neighborhoods – four of which are in Manhattan: Financial District (10006), Lincoln Square, Lennox Hill / Upper East Side, Financial District (10004), and Greenpoint .

“To maintain safety, the Ministry of Health strongly recommends masking in public internal settings, especially in groups where the vaccine status of other people is unknown. We also strongly recommend that people undergo COVID testing before and after attending any sessions, and certainly before choosing to remove your mask at a holiday session. , “Said the Health Commissioner on Friday.

The so-called “stealth” Omicron BA.2 version, which is causing a new rise in local, national and foreign corona virus cases, now accounts for 84% of the viruses spread in the New York area. This is reported by Greg Kargol from NBC New York.

The warnings come because two sub-variants of the contagious BA.2 Omicron strain nourish “significant community spread” in parts of New York, state health officials say.

The emergence of sub-variants BA.2.12 and BA.2.12.1 The two lineages of BA.2, a strain some of which have been described as the most contagious version of the corona virus to date, come when the parental sub-parent strengthens its already dominant grip in America and its sons. York, where data show it is moving faster than in the country.

New York State data puts the prevalence of BA.2 at 80.6% of COVID infections, although recently updated reports from the CDC suggest that its share may be even higher. And early findings suggest that sub-variations may be up to 27% higher than BA.2, which is said to be contagious up to 60% more than the original omicron strain that bypassed the world, leading to unprecedented case rates earlier this year.

“We are alerting the public to two Omicron sub-variants that have recently appeared and are spreading rapidly in upstate New York State so that New Yorkers can act quickly,” said State Health Commissioner Dr. T. T. Bast. News, the tools to fight them no. These tools will work if everyone uses them. “

In New York City, Department of Health data puts BA.2 at 85 percent of the positive COVID samples tested, but that data is a week behind the data provided by the CDC. Officials say the omicron subdivision now makes up the majority of cases in the five boroughs.

New York City Health Commissioner Dr. Ashwin and Essen say the city is more willing than ever to respond if COVID-19 cases rise again. NBC New York’s Andrew Siff reports.

It may never be possible to know how many cases are attributed to BA.2. The municipality claims that 14% of all positive samples were run in the last week of the data, quite similar to its highest weekly follow-up rate of 16%, recorded at the end of March.

It is not clear from the shelf of the Ministry of Health in the city how many samples were sequentially accumulated.

It is said that BA.2 is inherently more transmitted than the original omicron strain – perhaps the most contagious form of the virus to date, according to a WHO source – but has not been scientifically linked to more severe cases or has been shown to be more resistant to vaccines up to this point. Warning, experts say.

Breakthrough infection rates have seen an increase in recent weeks, but it is not clear what (or what) is responsible. The increase may reflect a decrease in vaccine effectiveness among people who have not yet received reinforcement or some other reason. Most importantly, the age-appropriate vaccine efficacy rate in terms of new hospitalizations has not changed statistically significantly. See the chart below for details.

New cases and new hospitalizations with COVID-19 approved in the laboratory among fully vaccinated and unvaccinated adults, and estimated vaccine efficacy, from age 18 and up.

Breakthrough data on Friday


Here’s the latest NYS breakthrough data.

At the national level, only 19 of America’s more than 3,200 counties are considered “high” at risk by the CDC, based on community-level monitoring recently introduced. More than 95 percent of U.S. counties, including all five in New York and all of the neighboring states of New Jersey and Connecticut, are also considered low-risk.

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